NFL Win Totals Already Volatile At Ontario Sportsbooks

NFL Win Totals Already Volatile At Ontario Sportsbooks
By Mark Keast
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

According to BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook, notable win total movement after Week 2 includes the Dallas Cowboys going from 10.5 to 11.5 (with the Over at 1.77 getting 77% of tickets and 81% of the handle), and the Cincinnati Bengals going from 10.5 to 9.5 (with the Under at 1.83 generating 42% of tickets and 52% of the handle).

As for the Buffalo Bills, their convincing 38-10 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday went a long way in calming doubts about the team. The Bills evened their record at 1-1 after their opening night loss in New York to the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets, with Bills QB Josh Allen committing four turnovers.

 
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Bulk of Bets Still Ride With Bills

But plenty of Ontario sportsbook apps customers still have faith in the region’s de factor home team for NFL rooting interest. The Bills' win total at BetMGM remains at 10.5, with the Over (1.91) generating 68% of tickets and 72% of handle.

According to Proline, 54% of customers took the Bills and gave 9.5 points; 82% had the Total Over 46.5 points against Las Vegas. Of course, both of those bets hit. One Proline digital customer correctly predicted the Total to go over for 10 different NFL games this weekend, turning a $10 wager into an $7,955 payout for a nice weekend of Ontario sports betting. Those games were: CHI/TB Over 39.5, WSH/DEN Over 40.5, LAC/TEN Over 45.5, NYG/ARZ Over 40.5, IND/HOU Over 40.5, LV/BUF Over 46.5, GB/ATL Over 40.5, SEA/DET Over 45.5, NYJ/DAL Over 36.5 & SF/LAR Over 47.5.

 
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Bills At -6.5 Points For Game At Washington

The Bills are currently the fifth-most bet team by handle on the moneyline for Week 3, according to DraftKings Ontario Sportsbook. This Sunday’s Bills game against the Washington Commanders (1 p.m. EST) is the third most bet game by handle, second-most popular by bets placed.

According to Proline, versus the Raiders, 91% of bettors had Allen Over 256.5 passing yards and 97% had WR Gabriel Davis with Over 44.5 receiving yards, with both of those props hitting. WR Stefon Diggs (30%) and Allen (16%) were the most popular choices for the first TD scorer wager. However, the correct pick there was Raiders receiver Davante Adams, who drew just 4% of the wagers. 

Diggs was again the most popular choice for anytime TD scorer, which did not come through for Proline players. But teammate TE Dawson Knox, the second most popular choice, did pay off, and a handful of other Bills also scored in the game.

Early odds at NorthStar Bets Ontario Sportsbook for Sunday’s game have the moneyline at Bills 1.33, the Commanders 3.35. The Spread is Bills -6.5 (1.89).

The Bills’ injury list is building – with Knox, FS Micah Hyde, RDE Leonard Floyd, and MLB Terrel Bernard all listed as questionable as of Wednesday afternoon.

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Author

Mark Keast has recently covered the sports betting industry in Canada for The Parleh, and is a long-time sportswriter and editor, most notably with the Toronto Sun.

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