What are the Bills Playoff Chances?
The Bills' playoff chances are 99%. Leading into the season, they are divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.
| 🏆 Bills Playoff Chances | 99% |
| 🏆 Bills Miss Playoffs | 4.76% |
| 🏆 Bills Win Super Bowl | 19% |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC | 33.3% |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC East | 90.9% |
| 🚫 NYT Playoff Simulator | 100% |
| 🚫 ESPN FPI Rating | Not Available |
| ✅ Last Verified: | September 16, 2025 |
Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.
Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Bills have a great chance to make the NFL Playoffs this season, as they are among the favorites.
Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?
Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.
You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.
Where to Bet in Ontario:
- 📍 Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
- 📍 Great Blue Heron Casino
- 📍 Pickering Casino Resort
- 📍 Elements Casino Brantford
- 📍 Shorelines Casino Belleville
Where to Bet in NY:
- 📍 Point Place Casino
- 📍 Turning Stone Resort Casino
- 📍 Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
- 📍 del Lago Resort Casino
- 📍 Tioga Downs Casino Resort
- 📍 Resort World Catskills
- 📍 Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
- 📍 The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
- 📍 Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino
Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances September 2025
- 📅 May 14, 2025: The NFL Schedule is released, and the Bills have the 23rd-easiest schedule in the NFL.
We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.
More From OntarioBets.com
Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture
With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 80% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season.
Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. After some early struggles last season, he and head coach Sean McDermott led the franchise to multiple AFC East titles.
Missing the playoffs would be a failure for Buffalo. However, the expectations are now to do more in the playoffs. Fans expect the Bills to make some noise in the playoffs and finally get past the Kansas City Chiefs and make it back to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1993. This is the point in Allen's career where he must take that pivotal next step.
Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?
No, the Bills are squarely in the mix to make the playoffs this season. In fact, they have less than a 5% chance to miss the playoffs as they remain one of the best teams in the NFL.
Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East
The Bills have held sole ownership of the AFC East for the last five seasons. Given their lack of progress compared to their divisional rivals, it seems more likely that they will win their sixth consecutive division title.
| Team | Playoff Chances |
| 🏈 Bills | 99% |
| 🏈Patriots | 47.6% |
| 🏈 Dolphins | 11.1% |
| 🏈 Jets | 11.1% |
None of the teams in the AFC East, sans the Bills, are expected to make the playoffs.
Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions
The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship. Despite playing in a division that is not as difficult as it was in past seasons, there are still tough teams on their schedule. Notably. the Bills still have six games against playoff teams from last season.
Oddsmakers continue to favor the Bills playoff chances in 2025.
Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 41-40 |
| Week 2 @ New York Jets | -6.5 ML -305 | Won 30-10 |
| Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins | -12.5 ML -800 | |
| Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints | -12.5 ML -675 | |
| Week 5 vs. New England Patriots | -8.5 ML -425 | |
| Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons | -5.5 ML -245 | |
| Week 7 BYE WEEK | NONE | |
| Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers | -7 ML -310 | |
| Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | -2.5 ML -142 | |
| Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 12 @ Houston Texans | -3.5 ML -185 | |
| Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -4.5 ML -218 | |
| Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 15 @ New England Patriots | -4.5 ML -218 | |
| Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns | -8.5 ML -410 | |
| Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles | -1.5 ML -125 | |
| Week 18 vs. New York Jets | -9.5 ML -410 |
Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances
Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills' playoff odds:
Offense:
- QB Josh Allen
- RB James Cook
- C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
- RT Spencer Brown
- WR Keon Coleman
- TE Dalton Kincaid
Defense:
- S Taylor Rapp
- DT Ed Oliver
- DE AJ Epenesa
- CB Rasul Douglas
Related Buffalo Bills Content
Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs
The Bills have an 99% chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Given their probability, the Bills have the best odds of any of the NFL teams of making the playoffs.
No, the Bills are not eliminated from the NFL Playoffs. In fact, they have a far more realistic chance to make the playoffs, with just a 4.76% chance to miss it based on odds from DraftKings. Buffalo has the best odds of all NFL teams.
No, the Bills aren't in the playoffs as they won't begin until the 2025-26 NFL regular season concludes. Last year, Buffalo qualified and won playoff games against the Denver Broncos and Baltimore Ravens before falling to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Title Game.
You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.
Yes, the Bills made the NFL Playoffs in 2024-25 after winning the AFC East again. Now, the Bills are heavily favored to make the playoffs in 2025-2026, while also being one of the top contenders for the Super Bowl.
Author
Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.
