What are the Bills Playoff Chances?
The Bills' playoff chances are off the board. Leading into the season, they are divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.
| π Bills Playoff Chances | OTB |
| π Bills Miss Playoffs | OTB |
| π Bills Win Super Bowl | OTB |
| π Bills Win AFC | OTB |
| π Bills Win AFC East | OTB |
| β Last Verified: | February 17, 2026 |
Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.
Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Bills have a great chance as they will be in the NFL Playoffs this season.
How The Bills Can Make Playoffs
The Bills officially made the playoffs. After they defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium, they fell to the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round.
Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?
Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.
You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.
Where to Bet in Ontario:
- π Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
- π Great Blue Heron Casino
- π Pickering Casino Resort
- π Elements Casino Brantford
- π Shorelines Casino Belleville
Where to Bet in NY:
- π Point Place Casino
- π Turning Stone Resort Casino
- π Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
- π del Lago Resort Casino
- π Tioga Downs Casino Resort
- π Resort World Catskills
- π Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
- π The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
- π Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino
π Bet on Josh Allen MVP Odds
Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances February 2026
- π Jan 11, 2026: The Bills will face the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round after defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- π Dec 28, 2025: The Bills will begin the playoffs as a wild card team as they lose 13-12 to the Eagles, giving the Patriots the AFC East division.
- π May 14, 2025: The NFL Schedule is released, and the Bills have the 23rd-easiest schedule in the NFL.
We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.
More From OntarioBets.com
Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture
With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 98% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season.
Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. But he will have to try again with a new coach, as the Bills have released head coach Sean McDermott, who led the franchise to multiple AFC East titles.
The Bills are in the playoffs. They did not have to face the Chiefs, Ravens, or Bengals, as all three missed the postseason. But the Bills still lost, losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Round.
Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?
No, the Bills have officially clinched a playoff spot. They defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars but lost to the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round.
Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East
The Bills have held sole ownership of the AFC East for the last five seasons. Given their lack of progress compared to their divisional rivals, it seems more likely that they will win their sixth consecutive division title.
| Team | Playoff Chances |
| π Bills | OTB |
| πPatriots | OTB |
| π Dolphins | OTB |
| π Jets | OTB |
The Bills have made the playoffs! But they have been eliminated in the Divisional Round.
Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions
The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship. Despite playing in a division that is not as difficult as it was in past seasons, they lost the division crown to the Patriots. Now, they need to start the playoffs on the road. Their next opponent is the Denver Broncos after beating the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 41-40 |
| Week 2 @ New York Jets | -6.5 ML -305 | Won 30-10 |
| Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins | -12.5 ML -800 | Won 31-21 |
| Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints | -15.5 ML -1600 | Won 31-19 |
| Week 5 vs. New England Patriots | -8.5 ML -440 | Lost 23-20 |
| Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons | -3.5 ML -198 | Lost 24-14 |
| Week 7 BYE WEEK | NONE | |
| Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers | -7 ML -355 | Won 40-9 |
| Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | +1.5 ML +105 | Won 28-21 |
| Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins | -8.5 ML -410 | Lost 30-13 |
| Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -5.5 ML -230 | Won 44-32 |
| Week 12 @ Houston Texans | -3.5 ML -198 | Lost 23-18 |
| Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -3.5 ML -305 | Won 26-7 |
| Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | -6 ML -290 | Won 39-34 |
| Week 15 @ New England Patriots | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 35-31 |
| Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns | -10 ML -550 | Won 23-20 |
| Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles | -2.5 ML -142 | Lost 13-12 |
| Week 18 vs. New York Jets | -8.5 ML -440 | Won 35-8 |
| Wild Card Game @ Jacksonville Jaguars | -1.5 ML -122 | Won 27-24 |
| Divisional Round Game @ Denver Broncos | +1.5 ML, +100 | Lost 33-30 (OT) |
Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances
Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills' playoff odds:
Offense:
- QB Josh Allen
- RB James Cook
- C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
- RT Spencer Brown
- WR Keon Coleman
- TE Dalton Kincaid
Defense:
- S Taylor Rapp
- DT Ed Oliver
- DE AJ Epenesa
- CB Rasul Douglas
Related Buffalo Bills Content
Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs
The Bills have a 100% chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Recently, the Bills clinched a playoff spot and started the playoffs on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They beat the Jags but lost to the Broncos in the Divisional Round.
Yes, the Bills are eliminated from the NFL Playoffs yet. After they defeated the Jaguars in the Wildcard Round, they fell to the Broncos in the Divisional Round, losing 33-30 in overtime, ending another season in heartbreak, and keeping their Super Bowl drought alive.
Yes. The Bills are in the playoffs. They clinched a playoff spot in Week 16, and will now be playing in the playoffs once again. This time, they will start the playoffs on the road, and have to get to the Super Bowl the hard way.
You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.
Yes. The Bills did make the playoffs in 2025-26. However, instead of winning the AFC East, the Bills will enter the playoffs as a wild-card entrant after failing to win it this season and will play on the road.
Author

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.
