Bills Playoff Chances: Playoff Picture 2025-26

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Key Takeaways:

  • 🏈 The Bills' odds to make the playoffs are officially off the board as they entered the playoffs. 
  • πŸ† The Bills' odds to win the AFC Championship at DraftKings Sportsbook are off the boards after they have been eliminated. 

The Buffalo Bills playoff odds are off the board. Oddsmakers believe the Bills have a shot to do some damage in the playoffs. 

Below, read our odds widgets and analysis to learn everything you need to know about the Bills' divisional and postseason odds. πŸ‘‡

 
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What are the Bills Playoff Chances?

The Bills' playoff chances are off the board. Leading into the season, they are divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.

πŸ† Bills Playoff ChancesOTB
πŸ† Bills Miss PlayoffsOTB
πŸ† Bills Win Super BowlOTB
πŸ† Bills Win AFCOTB
πŸ† Bills Win AFC EastOTB
βœ… Last Verified:February 17, 2026

Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.

Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Bills have a great chance as they will be in the NFL Playoffs this season. 

How The Bills Can Make Playoffs

The Bills officially made the playoffs. After they defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium, they fell to the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round. 

 
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Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?

Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.

You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.

Where to Bet in Ontario:

  • πŸ“ Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ Great Blue Heron Casino
  • πŸ“ Pickering Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Elements Casino Brantford
  • πŸ“ Shorelines Casino Belleville

Where to Bet in NY:

  • πŸ“ Point Place Casino
  • πŸ“ Turning Stone Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ del Lago Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Tioga Downs Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Resort World Catskills
  • πŸ“ Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
  • πŸ“ The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
  • πŸ“ Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino

🏈 Bet on Josh Allen MVP Odds

Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances February 2026

  • πŸ“… Jan 11, 2026: The Bills will face the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round after defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars. 
  • πŸ“… Dec 28, 2025: The Bills will begin the playoffs as a wild card team as they lose 13-12 to the Eagles, giving the Patriots the AFC East division. 
  • πŸ“… May 14, 2025: The NFL Schedule is released, and the Bills have the 23rd-easiest schedule in the NFL. 

We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.

More From OntarioBets.com

 

Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture

Buffalo Bills playoff chances improve with Josh Allen

With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 98% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season. 

Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. But he will have to try again with a new coach, as the Bills have released head coach Sean McDermott, who led the franchise to multiple AFC East titles. 

The Bills are in the playoffs. They did not have to face the Chiefs, Ravens, or Bengals, as all three missed the postseason. But the Bills still lost, losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Round. 

Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?

No, the Bills have officially clinched a playoff spot. They defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars but lost to the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round. 

Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East

The Bills have held sole ownership of the AFC East for the last five seasons. Given their lack of progress compared to their divisional rivals, it seems more likely that they will win their sixth consecutive division title. 

TeamPlayoff Chances
🏈 BillsOTB
🏈PatriotsOTB
🏈 DolphinsOTB
🏈 JetsOTB

The Bills have made the playoffs! But they have been eliminated in the Divisional Round. 

 
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Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions

The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship. Despite playing in a division that is not as difficult as it was in past seasons, they lost the division crown to the Patriots. Now, they need to start the playoffs on the road. Their next opponent is the Denver Broncos after beating the Jacksonville Jaguars. 

 
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Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines

WeekLineResult
Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens-1.5 ML -115Won 41-40
Week 2 @ New York Jets-6.5 ML -305Won 30-10
Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins-12.5 ML -800Won 31-21
Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints-15.5 ML -1600Won 31-19
Week 5 vs. New England Patriots-8.5 ML -440Lost 23-20
Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons-3.5 ML -198Lost 24-14
Week 7 BYE WEEKNONE 
Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers-7 ML -355Won 40-9
Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs+1.5 ML +105Won 28-21
Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins-8.5 ML -410Lost 30-13
Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-5.5 ML -230Won 44-32
Week 12 @ Houston Texans-3.5 ML -198Lost 23-18
Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers-3.5 ML -305Won 26-7
Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals-6 ML -290Won 39-34
Week 15 @ New England Patriots-1.5 ML -115Won 35-31
Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns-10 ML -550Won 23-20
Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles-2.5 ML -142Lost 13-12
Week 18 vs. New York Jets-8.5 ML -440Won 35-8
Wild Card Game @ Jacksonville Jaguars-1.5 ML -122Won 27-24
Divisional Round Game @ Denver Broncos+1.5 ML, +100Lost 33-30 (OT)

Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances

Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills' playoff odds:

Offense:

  • QB Josh Allen
  • RB James Cook
  • C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
  • RT Spencer Brown
  • WR Keon Coleman
  • TE Dalton Kincaid

Defense:

  • S Taylor Rapp
  • DT Ed Oliver
  • DE AJ Epenesa
  • CB Rasul Douglas

Related Buffalo Bills Content

Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs

The Bills have a 100% chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Recently, the Bills clinched a playoff spot and started the playoffs on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They beat the Jags but lost to the Broncos in the Divisional Round.

Yes, the Bills are eliminated from the NFL Playoffs yet. After they defeated the Jaguars in the Wildcard Round, they fell to the Broncos in the Divisional Round, losing 33-30 in overtime, ending another season in heartbreak, and keeping their Super Bowl drought alive.  

Yes. The Bills are in the playoffs. They clinched a playoff spot in Week 16, and will now be playing in the playoffs once again. This time, they will start the playoffs on the road, and have to get to the Super Bowl the hard way. 

You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.

Yes. The Bills did make the playoffs in 2025-26. However, instead of winning the AFC East, the Bills will enter the playoffs as a wild-card entrant after failing to win it this season and will play on the road. 

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.

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