Bills Playoff Chances: Playoff Picture 2025-26

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Key Takeaways:

  • 🏈 The Bills' odds to make the playoffs are officially off the board as they are on the cusp of making it again, and will make it in with a loss by the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football. 
  • πŸ† The Bills also have +500 odds to win the AFC Championship at DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • πŸ“… The Bills will face the New York Jets on Sunday to close the season before beginning the playoffs. 

The Buffalo Bills playoff odds are off the board at Week 18. Oddsmakers believe the Bills will once again participate in the playoffs, and it would take a monumental collapse to not make it. 

Below, read our odds widgets and analysis to learn everything you need to know about the Bills' divisional and postseason odds. πŸ‘‡

 
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What are the Bills Playoff Chances?

The Bills' playoff chances are off the board. Leading into the season, they are divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.

πŸ† Bills Playoff ChancesOTB
πŸ† Bills Miss PlayoffsOTB
πŸ† Bills Win Super Bowl8.33%
πŸ† Bills Win AFC16.7%
πŸ† Bills Win AFC EastOTB
βœ… Last Verified:December 30, 2025

Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.

Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Bills have a great chance as they will be in the NFL Playoffs this season. 

How The Bills Can Make Playoffs

The Bills have officially made the playoffs. Now, their final week will determine if they start the playoffs as the fifth, sixth, or seventh seeds. 

 
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Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?

Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.

You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.

Where to Bet in Ontario:

  • πŸ“ Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ Great Blue Heron Casino
  • πŸ“ Pickering Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Elements Casino Brantford
  • πŸ“ Shorelines Casino Belleville

Where to Bet in NY:

  • πŸ“ Point Place Casino
  • πŸ“ Turning Stone Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ del Lago Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Tioga Downs Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Resort World Catskills
  • πŸ“ Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
  • πŸ“ The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
  • πŸ“ Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino

🏈 Bet on Josh Allen MVP Odds

Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances December 2025

  • πŸ“… Dec 28, 2025: The Bills will begin the playoffs as a wild card team as they lose 13-12 to the Eagles, giving the Patriots the AFC East division. 
  • πŸ“… May 14, 2025: The NFL Schedule is released, and the Bills have the 23rd-easiest schedule in the NFL. 

We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.

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Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture

Buffalo Bills playoff chances improve with Josh Allen

With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 98% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season. 

Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. After some early struggles last season, he and head coach Sean McDermott led the franchise to multiple AFC East titles. 

Missing the playoffs would be a failure for Buffalo. However, the expectations are now to do more in the playoffs. Fans expect the Bills to make some noise in the playoffs, especially now that the Chiefs are eliminated. Can the Bills finally get over the hump?

Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?

No, the Bills are squarely in the mix to make the playoffs this season as they have officially clinched a playoff spot. 

Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East

The Bills have held sole ownership of the AFC East for the last five seasons. Given their lack of progress compared to their divisional rivals, it seems more likely that they will win their sixth consecutive division title. 

TeamPlayoff Chances
🏈 BillsOTB
🏈PatriotsOTB
🏈 DolphinsOTB
🏈 JetsOTB

The Bills are expected to make the playoffs, while the Patriots are also looking good. Meanwhile, the Dolphins look like they will miss the playoffs, while the Jets have officially been eliminated from the playoff race. 

 
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Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions

The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship. Despite playing in a division that is not as difficult as it was in past seasons, there are still tough teams on their schedule. Notably. the Bills still have six games against playoff teams from last season. 

Oddsmakers continue to favor the Bills playoff chances in 2025. 

 
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Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines

WeekLineResult
Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens-1.5 ML -115Won 41-40
Week 2 @ New York Jets-6.5 ML -305Won 30-10
Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins-12.5 ML -800Won 31-21
Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints-15.5 ML -1600Won 31-19
Week 5 vs. New England Patriots-8.5 ML -440Lost 23-20
Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons-3.5 ML -198Lost 24-14
Week 7 BYE WEEKNONE 
Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers-7 ML -355Won 40-9
Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs+1.5 ML +105Won 28-21
Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins-8.5 ML -410Lost 30-13
Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-5.5 ML -230Won 44-32
Week 12 @ Houston Texans-3.5 ML -198Lost 23-18
Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers-3.5 ML -305Won 26-7
Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals-6 ML -290Won 39-34
Week 15 @ New England Patriots-1.5 ML -115Won 35-31
Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns-10 ML -550Won 23-20
Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles-2.5 ML -142Lost 13-12
Week 18 vs. New York Jets-8.5 ML -440 

Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances

Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills' playoff odds:

Offense:

  • QB Josh Allen
  • RB James Cook
  • C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
  • RT Spencer Brown
  • WR Keon Coleman
  • TE Dalton Kincaid

Defense:

  • S Taylor Rapp
  • DT Ed Oliver
  • DE AJ Epenesa
  • CB Rasul Douglas

Related Buffalo Bills Content

Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs

The Bills have a 100 % chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Recently, the Bills clinched a playoff spot and will start the playoffs on the road against an undetermined opponent. 

No, the Bills are not eliminated from the NFL Playoffs yet. They have a far better chance of making a deep playoff run, despite having to play on the road after losing their chance to win the AFC East. 

Yes. The Bills are in the playoffs. They clinched a playoff spot in Week 16, and will now be playing in the playoffs once again. This time, they will start the playoffs on the road, and have to get to the Super Bowl the hard way. 

You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.

Yes. The Bills did make the playoffs in 2025-26. However, instead of winning the AFC East, the Bills will enter the playoffs as a wild-card entrant after failing to win it this season and will play on the road. 

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.

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