Bills Playoff Chances: Preseason Playoff Picture 2025-26

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Key Takeaways:

  • 🏈 The Bills currently have -750 odds to make the playoffs this season.  
  • πŸ† The Bills also have +350 odds to win the AFC Championship at DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • πŸ“… Buffalo will get a great test in Week 1 against Baltimore. 

The Buffalo Bills playoff odds -750 at preseason. Oddsmakers believe the Bills will once again participate in the playoffs. 

Below, read our odds widgets and analysis to learn everything you need to know about the Bills' divisional and postseason odds. πŸ‘‡

 
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What are the Bills Playoff Chances?

The Bills' playoff chances are 88.2%. Leading into the season, they are divisional favorites at Ontario sportsbooks.

πŸ† Bills Playoff Chances88.2%
πŸ† Bills Miss Playoffs16.7%
πŸ† Bills Win Super Bowl12.5%
πŸ† Bills Win AFC22.2%
πŸ† Bills Win AFC East77.2%
🚫 NYT Playoff Simulator100%
🚫 ESPN FPI RatingNot Available
βœ… Last Verified:June 11, 2025

Implied probability based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Since they've been a mainstay in the postseason for the last decade, fans are more concerned with the Bills Super Bowl odds.

Do the Buffalo Bills Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Bills have a great chance to make the NFL Playoffs this season, as they are among the favorites.

 
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Where Can I Bet on the Buffalo Bills to Make the Playoffs?

Since sports betting is legal in Ontario & NY, you can bet on Buffalo with an online or retail sportsbook.

You can bet on the Bills with any of the best Ontario sports betting apps, including DraftKings, FanDuel, bet365, and more.

Where to Bet in Ontario:

  • πŸ“ Caesars Palace Windsor Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ Great Blue Heron Casino
  • πŸ“ Pickering Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Elements Casino Brantford
  • πŸ“ Shorelines Casino Belleville

Where to Bet in NY:

  • πŸ“ Point Place Casino
  • πŸ“ Turning Stone Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Yellow Brick Road Casino & Sportsbook
  • πŸ“ del Lago Resort Casino
  • πŸ“ Tioga Downs Casino Resort
  • πŸ“ Resort World Catskills
  • πŸ“ Rivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Schenectady
  • πŸ“ The Sports Lounge at Seneca Casinos (3 locations in Buffalo)
  • πŸ“ Sticks Sportsbook & Grill at Akwesasne Mohawk Casino

🏈 Bet on Josh Allen MVP Odds

Latest News & Updates Impacting the Bills Playoff Chances June 2025

  • πŸ“… May 14, 2025: The NFL Schedule is released, and the Bills have the 23rd-easiest schedule in the NFL. 

We will keep this section updated weekly throughout the offseason and into the regular season.

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Looking Ahead: Bills Playoff Picture

Buffalo Bills playoff chances improve with Josh Allen

With the Bills qualifying for the postseason more than 80% of the time in the last eight seasons, it's hard to picture them not doing it again this season. 

Franchise QB Josh Allen is one of the premier talents in the league. After some early struggles last season, he and head coach Sean McDermott led the franchise to multiple AFC East titles. 

Missing the playoffs would be a failure for Buffalo. However, the expectations are now to do more in the playoffs. 

Are the Bills Out of the Playoff Picture?

No, the Bills are squarely in the mix to make the playoffs this season. In fact, they have less than a 17% chance to miss the playoffs as they remain one of the best teams in the NFL. 

Bills Playoff Chances vs. AFC East

The Bills have had sole ownership of the AFC East, winning it the last five seasons. Given their lack of progress from their divisional rivals., it seems more likely they will win their sixth division title in a row. 

TeamPlayoff Chances
🏈 Bills77.2%
🏈Patriots17.4%
🏈 Dolphins13.3%
🏈 Jets5.26%

None of the teams in the AFC East, sans the Bills, are expected to make the playoffs. 

 
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Bills Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions

The Buffalo Bills are a playoff team with the roster and signal-caller to compete for a divisional and conference championship. Despite playing in a division that is not as difficult as it was in past seasons, there are still tough teams on their schedule. Notably. the Bills still have six games against playoff teams from last season. 

Oddsmakers continue to favor the Bills playoff chances in 2025. 

 
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Buffalo Bills Schedule And Betting Lines

WeekLineResult
Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens-1.5 ML -120 
Week 2 @ New York Jets-8.5 ML -380 
Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins-8.5 ML -380 
Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints-12.5 ML -625 
Week 5 vs. New England Patriots-8.5 ML -380 
Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons-5.5 ML -230 
Week 7 BYE WEEKNONE 
Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers-7 ML -305 
Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs-2.5 ML -135 
Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins-5.5 ML -225 
Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-5.5 ML -225 
Week 12 @ Houston Texans-3.5 ML -175 
Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers-4.5 ML -198 
Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals-5.5 ML -218 
Week 15 @ New England Patriots-4.5 ML -205 
Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns-8.5 ML -375 
Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles-1.5 ML -122 
Week 18 vs. New York Jets-9.5 ML -380 

Key Contributors to the Bills Playoff Chances

If you haven't kept up with the offseason, the Bills will be without some key contributors this season. With the loss of franchise wideout Stefon Diggs on top of team captains Mitch Morse & Jordan Poyer, who will lead the charge for Buffalo in 2025?

Here's a list of the most important players impacting the Buffalo Bills playoff odds:

Offense:

  • QB Josh Allen
  • C Connor McGovern (replacing All-Pro Mitch Morse)
  • RT Spencer Brown
  • WR Keon Coleman
  • TE Dalton Kincaid

Defense:

  • S Taylor Rapp
  • DT Ed Oliver
  • DE AJ Epenesa
  • CB Rasul Douglas

Related Buffalo Bills Content

Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances FAQs

The Bills have an 88.2% chance to make the playoffs, based on implied probability using the latest odds from DraftKings. Given their probability, the Bills have the second-best odds of any of the NFL teams of making the playoffs. 

No, the Bills are not eliminated from the NFL Playoffs. In fact, they have a far more realistic chance to make the playoffs, with just a 17.7% chance to miss it based on odds from DraftKings. Only Philadelphia has better playoff odds than Buffalo.

No, the Bills aren't in the playoffs as they won't begin until the 2025-26 NFL regular season concludes. Last year, Buffalo qualified and won playoff games against the Denver Broncos and Baltimore Ravens before falling to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Title Game. 

You can bet on the Bills to make the playoffs on multiple legal sportsbooks. Whether you use a mobile app or bet in person, you have many options. You can sign up online to use DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Or, you can head to a local retail sportsbook to place your wager.

Yes, the Bills made the NFL Playoffs in 2024-25 after winning the AFC East again. Now, the Bills are heavily favored to make the playoffs in 2025-2026, while also being one of the top contenders for the Super Bowl. 

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.

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