Can Toronto FC Rebound? How Worst MLS Teams Do In Following Year

Can Toronto FC Rebound? How Worst MLS Teams Do In Following Year
By Jim Tomlin
Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

Last summer was a painful time for Toronto FC fans and for the Major League Soccer team’s backers at Ontario betting sites.

Not only did club legend Michael Bradley retire at the end of the season, but the team finished with the worst record in MLS. Toronto compiled a dismal 4-20-10 record for 22 points, the fewest wins in a season in the club’s 17-year history.

This is familiar territory for Toronto FC; it was the third time that the club had the worst record in the league. Only D.C. United (five times) and the San Jose Earthquakes (four times) have finished dead last more often since MLS began play in 1996. That made us wonder: How do teams typically fare in the season after they prop up the table?

So OntarioBets.com, your home for new Ontario sportsbooks reviews, compiled a list of the worst team from each MLS season, and how they fared the following year.

 
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How Worst MLS Teams Fared The Following Season

Year, Team Record, Points How They Fared Next Year
2023 Toronto 4-20-10, 22 pts TBD
2022 D.C. 7-21-6, 27 pts 10-14-10, 40 pts, Missed playoffs
2021 Cincinnati 4-22-8, 20 pts 12-9-13, 49 pts, Lost East semis
2020 Cincinnati 4-15-4, 16 pts 4-22-8, 20 pts, Missed playoffs
2019 Cincinnati 6-22-6, 24 pts 4-15-4, 16 pts, Missed playoffs
2018 San Jose 4-21-9, 21 pts 13-16-5, 44 pts, Missed playoffs
2017 D.C. (tied) 9-20-5, 32 pts 14-11-9, 51 pts, Lost East first round
2017 LA Galaxy (tied) 8-18-8, 32 pts 13-12-9, 48 pts, Missed playoffs
2016 Chicago 7-17-10, 31 pts 16-11-7, 55 pts, Lost East first round
2015 Chicago 8-20-6, 30 pts 7-17-10, 31 pts, Missed playoffs
2014 Montreal 6-18-10, 28 pts 15-13-6, 51 pts, Lost East semis
2013 D.C. 3-24-7, 16 pts 17-9-8, 59 pts, Lost East semis
2012 Toronto 5-21-8, 23 pts 6-17-11, 29 pts, Missed playoffs
2011 Vancouver (tied) 6-18-10, 28 pts 11-13-10, 43 pts, Lost West first round
2011 New England (tied) 5-16-13, 28 pts 9-17-8, 35 pts, Missed playoffs
2010 D.C. 6-20-4, 22 pts 9-13-12, 39 pts, Missed playoffs
2009 NY Red Bulls 5-19-6, 21 pts 15-9-6, 51 pts, Lost East semis
2008 San Jose (tied) 8-13-9, 33 pts 7-14-9,30 pts, Missed playoffs
2008 LA Galaxy (tied) 8-13-9, 33 pts 12-6-12, 48 pts, Lost MLS Cup final
2007 Toronto 6-17-7, 25 pts 9-13-8, 35 pts, Missed playoffs
2006 Columbus 8-15-9, 33 pts 9-11-10, 37 pts, Missed playoffs
2005 Chivas USA 4-22-6, 18 pts 10-9-13, 43 pts, Lost West semis
2004 Chicago 8-13-9, 33 pts 15-13-4, 49 pts, Lost East final
2003 Dallas 6-19-5, 23 pts 10-14-6, 36 pts, Missed playoffs
2002 D.C. 9-14-5, 32 pts 10-11-9, 39 pts, Lost East semifinals
2001 Tampa Bay 4-21-2, 14 pts Franchise folded
2000 San Jose 7-17-8, 29 pts 13-7-6, 45 pts, Won MLS Cup
1999 NY MetroStars 7-25, 15 pts 17-12-3, 54 pts, Lost MLS semifinals
1998 New England 11-21, 29 pts 12-20, 26 pts, Missed playoffs
1997 San Jose 12-20, 30 pts 13-19, 33 pts, Missed playoffs
1996 Colorado 11-21, 29 pts 14-18, 38 pts, Lost MLS Cup final

Toronto FC 2024 Prospects Seem Dim

The 2024 MLS regular season began Wednesday, when Argentine superstar Lionel Messi led Inter Miami to a 2-0 victory over Real Salt Lake. Toronto FC carries +15000 odds at Caesars Ontario Sportsbook, the longest shot on the board, to go from worst to first and win MLS Cup this season. Toronto opens on Sunday at FC Cincinnati.

If club history is any indicator, Toronto has a long way to go before getting back atop the league as it did when it won MLS Cup in 2017 behind Bradley, Jozy Altidore and Sebastian Giovinco.

The inhabitants of BMO Field in downtown Toronto finished last in the league twice before. In 2007 the team was 6-17-7 for 25 points but had a pretty good excuse – that was the expansion club’s debut season. And Toronto made progress in 2008 (a 9-13-8 record for 35 points) but missed the playoffs. Customers at Ontario sports betting apps don’t have to keep track of any expansion clubs this year after St. Louis entered the league in 2023. 

Fast forward to 2012, when Toronto went 5-21-8 for 23 points to finish at the bottom of the table. The following season was not much better – a 6-17-11 mark left the team with 29 points and another year without postseason play. The club missed the playoffs for the first eight seasons of its existence before making it in 2015 as Toronto slowly built the team that won it all in 2017.

Toronto has +8000 odds with DraftKings Ontario Sportsbook to win the Eastern Conference in 2024. Can new coach John Herdman defy the odds and lead the team back to postseason glory? History provides a few examples that give hope.

 
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Biggest MLS Turnarounds Ever

The ultimate example of worst-to-first in MLS resides with the original San Jose Earthquakes. That club was last in the league with 29 points in 2000. But in 2001 the Quakes made the postseason with a 13-7-6 mark (45 points) then went on a dream run in the postseason, capped by a 2-1 victory over the rival Los Angeles Galaxy to win the MLS Cup.

Two other teams reached the MLS Cup final the year after having the worst record: Colorado in 1997 and the Los Angeles Galaxy in 2009. Out of 30 teams on our list (there are more teams than MLS seasons because of ties for last), 14 of them, almost half, made the playoffs the following year. And the league is in a healthy place – so no matter how things go for Toronto this year, there’s no reason to worry that the team will meet the fate of the 2001 Tampa Bay Mutiny, who had the league’s worst record and then folded weeks later.

As for this year’s Toronto players, BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook has them as +575 underdogs to win the opener against Cincinnati, which reached the Eastern Conference final last year. Cincinnati has -275 odds, with a draw at +400.

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Author

Jim Tomlin is an editor and writer specializing in sports, gambling and the intersection of those industries. He has 30+ years of journalism experience and his work has appeared in the Tampa Bay Times, FanRag, Saturday Down South and Saturday Tradition.

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