A shining star in the constellation that is the Toronto Maple Leafs’ offensive attack could be on the move this offseason. Right wing Mitchell Marner, who just turned 27, could depart the TO ahead of his unrestricted free agent status at the end of next season.
OntarioBets.com, as part of our Ontario betting sites coverage, asks just that question. We created these odds exclusively for OntarioBets on whether Marner and his eight-figure annual salary will be moved in this offseason.
Mitch Marner Trade Odds
Team | Odds | Percent Chance |
Toronto Maple Leafs | -400 | 80.0% |
Chicago Blackhawks | +2000 | 4.8% |
Utah Hockey Team | +2000 | 4.8% |
Detroit Red Wings | +3000 | 3.2% |
Columbus Blue Jackets | +3500 | 2.8% |
St. Louis Blues | +3500 | 2.8% |
The Field | +1750 | 5.4% |
Marner has been a tour de force for head coach Sheldon Keefe, scoring 26 goals and adding 59 assists in 69 games this season. The wing posted a +21 rating and 8.8 point shares (according to hockey-reference.com) for the Leafs this season.
The eighth-year forward out of Markham, Ontario, had a salary cap hit of $10.903 million in the 2023-24 season. Toronto has won only one playoff series in Marner’s tenure with the club, so could the Leafs think about trying to move him, knowing that his next contract is likely to be even bigger? Check out our Stanley Cup odds page to see about the eight teams that do remain in this year’s NHL playoffs.
This upcoming season, Marner enters the final year of his six-year, $65.418-million contract with the Leafs. That got us thinking about where Marner could go in 2024 and beyond, if he leaves.
Where Will Marner Go Next?
Right now, our odds are very much in Toronto’s favor to keep Marner for 2024-25 or longer. We list the Leafs at -400 (which translates to an 80% implied probability) to keep their talented wing.
The top outside contenders for the veteran are the Chicago Blackhawks and Utah Hockey Team (the soon-to-be former Arizona Coyotes), who are listed at +2000 each. This will be an issue worth watching for Ontario sportsbook apps customers.
Toronto has been butting up against the NHL’s salary cap limit for a while – the Leafs have four players due to make eight figures in the 2024-25 season, according to capfriendly.com. Marner, again on the last year of his deal, is due $10.9 million again. Captain John Tavares is due $11 million and two forwards will be on the first year of their contract extension, leading scorer Auston Matthews ($13.25M) and William Nylander ($11.5M).
The team has almost $70 million committed for next season before any of their pending free agents are factored in. Five forwards have expiring contracts, including Tyler Bertuzzi and Max Domi, along with five defencemen and two goaltenders. We asked months ago, can the Leafs retain their stars after the Nylander extension? That question is still unanswered.
It’s worth pondering whether general manager Brad Treliving will move on from the team’s costliest players that are on the verge of free agency.
If he does, expect a host of NHL executives to beat down the door to get their gloves on Marner. In addition to the teams mentioned above, the Detroit Red Wings (+3000), Columbus Blue Jackets and St. Louis Blues (+3500) could be interested in trading for the veteran winger this offseason.
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USA Today photo by John E. Sokolowski
