Matt Chapman Next Team Odds: Free Agency Rumors

Matt Chapman Next Team Odds: Free Agency Rumors
By Christopher Boan
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Few MLB free agents are bound to hit the payday jackpot that Toronto Blue Jays’ infielder Matt Chapman is in for this offseason. It’s a development worth watching for Ontario sportsbooks customers monitoring MLB futures odds, as the four-time Gold Glove winner hits the free agency market for the first time in his career.

The third baseman has excelled in stops with the Oakland Athletics, where he played from 2017-21, and the Blue Jays, where he was traded in 2022. Chapman has 155 home runs and 426 RBIs, to go with a career WAR (according to of 31.2.

The California native is in the final year of a deal worth $12.5 million annually. The 30-year-old is coming off a season in which he posted a 4.4 WAR with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and an OPS+ of 108 for the Blue Jays, who have +1800 odds to win the 2024 World Series at Caesars Ontario Sportsbook.

As the MLB free agency hot stove warms up, broke down where Chapman will play next, with our hypothetical odds on the next MLB club to land the superstar third baseman.

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Matt Chapman Next Team Odds

Team Percentage Chance Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 22.2% +350
San Francisco Giants 16.7% +500
New York Mets 16.7% +500
Arizona Diamondbacks 10.0% +1000
Chicago Cubs 10.0% +1000
New York Yankees 10.0% +1000
Other 12.5% +700

Can Blue Jays Keep Chapman In 2024?

Remember, you will not find these odds at Ontario sports betting apps, only at

For now, it seems like the Blue Jays are still in the proverbial driver’s seat to keep Chapman at the hot corner in 2024 and beyond. We give Canada’s team +350 odds, or a 22.2% chance, of retaining the veteran infielder.

Toronto’s odds beat out the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets, who are the next closest teams at +500 apiece. The Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees all check in at +1000 apiece to round out our list for Chapman’s services. We rate any other result at a 12.5% chance, or +700 odds.

Entering the free agency window, the Blue Jays – who carry +800 odds to win the American League pennant next season at NorthStar Bets Ontario Sportsbook – have the MLB’s 10th highest payroll, at $142.824 million. That ranks third in the AL East behind the Yankees (first overall at $204.5 million) and the Boston Red Sox (ninth at $144.7 million).

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How Future Could Look For Chapman

The Blue Jays' front office could roll the dice and bring back Chapman in 2024, though it likely would take a long-term contract. The third baseman might land one of the league’s highest salaries among players at that position.

For reference, the current highest paid third basemen in the majors are Anthony Rendon of the Los Angeles Angels ($38.5 million per year), Nolan Arenado of the St. Louis Cardinals ($32.8 million) and Houston’s Alex Bregman ($30.5 million).

It likely will take at least $30 million a year to keep Chapman, though that apparently isn’t out of the question, given Toronto’s recent commitment to fielding a competitive team. Wherever he lands, the four-time Gold Glove winner can have an impact on offense and defense moving forward.

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Christopher Boan is a writer at He's covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.