Have Buffalo Bills’ Hot Offensive Starts Led To Big Seasons In Team History?

Have Buffalo Bills’ Hot Offensive Starts Led To Big Seasons In Team History?
By Mark Keast
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

On Monday, as the 3-0 Buffalo Bills put a thorough 47-10 beatdown on the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars (Trevor Lawrence is 0-8 in his last eight starts!) one might have been thinking about how such a strong offence improves Buffalo Bills Super Bowl odds.

So: Have such hot starts led to big seasons for the Bills in seasons past?

Looking at the Bills’ record through Week 3, it’s tough not to be optimistic. For some perspective, here’s a look at how past Bills teams have fared after averaging at least 32 points per game through three games:

 
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Best Starts For Buffalo Bills Offense Since 1990

Rank

Team

Points Through Week 3

Final Record

Playoffs Result

1

2011 Buffalo Bills

113

6-10

Missed Playoffs

T-2

2024 Buffalo Bills

112

TBD

TBD

T-2

1992 Buffalo Bills

112

11-5

Lost Super Bowl

T-4

1991 Buffalo Bills

110

13-3

Lost Super Bowl

T-4

2002 Buffalo Bills

110

8-8

Missed Playoffs

6

2015 Buffalo Bills

108

8-8

Missed Playoffs

7

2012 Buffalo Bills

107

6-10

Missed Playoffs

8

2018 Buffalo Bills

105

6-10

Missed Playoffs

9

2021 Buffalo Bills

101

11-6

Lost Divisional

10

2023 Buffalo Bills

97

11-6

Lost Divisional

Customers at Ontario sportsbooks have a wide array of NFL wagering options, including futures bets.

By jettisoning receiver Stefon Diggs this past offseason, they might have ignited an “addition by subtraction” scenario.

Without having to satisfy the statistical expectations of the talented but mercurial receiver, who is now with the Houston Texans, Bills quarterback Josh Allen has spread the wealth in the passing game. ESPN’s Dan Graziano said Tuesday that if things continue this way for Allen and the Bills, “the MVP is in the bag.”

Now everyone is happy. How many times have you seen an NFL team with that many smiling faces that we saw on that Bills’ sideline on Monday night?

Our Buffalo Bills betting guide at OntarioBets.com gives more insights.

Buffalo Bills 2024 Statistics Impressive

Look at the stats sheet off the Jaguars game. Allen was 23 for 30 passing for 263 yards and four touchdowns and the top receiver was Khalil Shakir, who had six receptions for 72 yards and a TD. But so many others had a role in the passing game: Tight end Dalton Kincaid (3 receptions, 41 yards, 1 TD), running backs James Cook (4 receptions, 48 yards) and Ty Johnson (3 receptions, 28 yards, 1 TD) as well as wide receivers Keon Coleman (1 reception for a 24-yard TD) and Curtis Samuel (3 receptions, 22 yards).

Those wagering on Allen props at Ontario sports betting apps are likely to be happy as well. Allen has thrown seven touchdowns this season with a passer rating of 133.7. Both stats are tops in the NFL.

The Bills are well entrenched at 3-0, first in the AFC East, having scored 112 points so far. That is the second-most points for Buffalo since 1990, matching their output in the first three games of the 1992 season. Only the 2011 Bills team scored more, with 113 points after three games.

Buffalo is 9.0 in decimal odds to win the Super Bowl, behind just the Chiefs at 5.25 and the 49ers at 8.00, at BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook.

 
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Big Outbursts Not Always Sign of Success

What’s perhaps surprising about the Bills and their recent history is that, several times when they have been a scoring machine in early games, they have not converted that into postseason success. The 2011 team finished 6-10 and missed the playoffs. But two teams on our list made the Super Bowl.

In other words, there is a long way to go in the 2024 season. And the Bills have a tough one coming up, Sunday night in Baltimore against the 1-2 Ravens. Check out the Bills vs. Ravens odds to track any line movement and compare operators.

So, based on history, let’s pump the brakes a little. Still, Bills Mafia should enjoy this scoring bonanza as long as possible.

USA Today photo by Gregory Fisher

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Author

Mark Keast

Mark Keast has recently covered the sports betting industry in Canada for The Parleh, and is a long-time sportswriter and editor, most notably with the Toronto Sun.

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