Where Will Connor McDavid End Up On Single Season Points List?

Where Will Connor McDavid End Up On Single Season Points List?
By Cecil Peters
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Connor McDavid checked off yet another milestone on Monday night in Arizona, scoring his 140th point of the NHL season against the Coyotes and becoming the first player to amass that many points since Mario Lemieux and Jaromir Jagr both accomplished the feat in the 1995-96 season.

It’s a rare feat for fans and observers with Ontario sports betting apps alike as the Edmonton Oilers superstar continues his most impressive statistical season.

Seeing players pass the 140-point plateau might have seemed common in the 1980s and early 1990s when Lemieux and Wayne Gretzky seemed to hit the mark every year. But even back then it was a rarity for anyone but those two; Phil Esposito is the only other player in history to have surpassed 140 more than once.

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How Rare Is A 140-Point Season These Days?

While a 140-point season has always been a rare occurrence for anyone other than No 66 or No. 99, it has seemed impossible in the 21st century. Since 2000, the previous high-water mark had been Nikita Kucherov’s 128 points in 2019.

McDavid’s Edmonton Oilers have eight regular-season games remaining on the schedule, including Tuesday night at the Vegas Golden Knights. So OntarioBets.com developed hypothetical odds of where McDavid will end up on the single-season points chart at the end of the 2022-23 NHL season.

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Odds of McDavid’s Rank In Single-Season Points

Place, points Percentage Odds
20th (147 points) 4.2% +2280
19th (148 points) 9.3% +975
17th (149 points) 10.7% +835
16th (150 points) 16.0% +525
15th (152 points) 21.5% +365
14th (155 points) 24.7% +305
13th (160 points) 13.6% +635

McDavid on Pace For Special Numbers

Using McDavid’s current point-per-game average this season of 1.89 would suggest that he ends the season at 155 points, which would place him 15th all-time. That would tie him with Steve Yzerman for the most points in a season by someone other than Lemieux or Gretzky. Ontario, gives him hypothetical odds of +305 to finish the season in 15th place all-time.

Last week, we looked at the odds of McDavid winning the Hart Trophy and the Stanley Cup this season. With 60 goals and 80 assists, it seems a foregone conclusion that the 26-year-old center will earn the Hart Trophy as league MVP.

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What’s On Tap For Oilers

McDavid finishes the season with three of his remaining eight games against either Anaheim or San Jose, both of whom rank in the bottom three this year when it comes to goals allowed. Edmonton has +1300 odds with BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook to win the Stanley Cup.

These games should give him ample opportunity to pile up points; he already has multiple two-point efforts against both clubs. In total, he has put up nine points in four games against them. His points against these teams alone could get him past 150 and into 16th place all time, a mark that has hypothetical odds of +525.

For those more inclined to be pessimistic, if McDavid can’t rack up a ton of points against those two cellar-dwellers, he has tough matchups against Vegas, Los Angeles and Colorado to contend with. Los Angeles has held him to one point in two games thus far this year. The Kings are likely to be Edmonton’s first round playoff opponent if the standings hold firm – check out our Stanley Cup odds tracker for more insight.

Colorado beat Edmonton in four straight games in last year's Western Conference final. Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar, one of the only players in the league that can keep up with McDavid’s speed, helped hold the Oilers star to no goals and two assists in two matchups this year.

Vegas is another tough matchup as the Golden Knights have given up four points in three games to McDavid this year. That’s not bad but it is below his season’s PPG average. If these teams continue to stymie McDavid, the hypothetical odds of +2280 that he doesn’t eclipse 20th place all time would have a slight chance of hitting.

By notching his 140th point against Arizona, McDavid has already cemented his place in the record books and done something that many people around the game might have thought would never happen again. Having already surpassed that milestone, no one would be surprised now to see him find yet another gear over the final eight games of the season to put up the most points ever by someone other than the legends Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux.

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Cecil Peters
Senior Betting Analyst

Cecil Peters is a Senior Betting Analyst for OntarioBets.com. A professional sports bettor in Canada, Cecil specializes in analyzing the latest odds impacting professional sports teams in Canada, with a focus on Toronto's favorite players and teams including the Raptors, Blue Jays & Maple Leafs.

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