The 2023 MLB Season is now underway, and one of the most exciting plays in baseball is the home run. With so many teams and unique stadiums across North America, seeing a home run in one spot is not the same as seeing it elsewhere. Field sizes, park atmospheres, team lineups, and more all have a significant effect on how often and exciting each home run will be.
With all of this in mind, OntarioBets.com used the Park Factors Statcast information from BaseballSavant.com to determine which MLB Stadiums you would most likely see a home run at. With Ontario sports betting legal, this could be a useful tool for bettors. Statcast park effects show the observed impact of each displayed stat based on the events in the selected park. While this is not an exact science, it gives us an idea of which parks are affecting the players the most. Team lineups and hitters' abilities also play a role in which teams hit the most homers.
Best MLB Stadiums for Home Runs
Below is the top-10 MLB stadiums for home runs in 2023:
*Over the last 3 seasons
Blue Jays' Rogers Centre Rank 7th Best for Home Runs
The aptly named Great American Ball Park sits at the top of the list as the park ranks well ahead of the rest when it comes to home runs allowed. It received a 150 park factor mark over the past three seasons for home runs allowed. This means for batters and pitchers who played both at GABP and elsewhere, 50% more home runs were observed at GABP. Citizens Field Park in Philadelphia and Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago rounded out the top three.
Rogers Centre in Toronto checks in fairly high, ranking seventh on the list. It was a top ten park for home run park factors both last year and over the past three years. You can expect Ontario sports betting apps to favor home runs when the Blue Jays are playing at home. The Blue Jays also bring one of the most explosive offenses in baseball, making it even more likely that you’ll see a home run every time you attend a game in Toronto. The Jays ranked seventh with 200 home runs last year, trailing the league-leading Yankees by 54. Being a division rival, the Yankees play several times a year in Toronto, continuing to boost the chances of seeing a dinger at Rogers Centre.
Which Blue Jays Will Go Long in Rogers Centre?
On the Blue Jays current roster, five players hit over 20 home runs last year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Matt Chapman, George Springer and Bo Bichette all did it as members of the Jays last year, with Guerrero, Chapman and Springer all hitting well over half of their bombs at home. Worth noting: Guerrero is currently +1120 to win AL MVP over at BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook. New acquisition Daulton Varsho hit 27 last year, and his home park in Arizona had a negative park factor when it came to home runs, so he could reasonably be expected to eclipse 30 this year.
Guerrero was the team's leader last season with 32, which was a disappointing mark for him considering he hit 48 the year before, a number he expects to be back at again this year. The 50 home run mark will be a target for him and playing half of his games at Rogers Centre will certainly aid him on his way.
Rogers Centre is an exciting place to watch any baseball game. The stadium has always held great interest with its retractable roof. Formerly named The Skydome, the stadium was considered an architectural marvel when it opened in 1989. Some people will attend games in Toronto just to experience the Stadium, and with the way this year's Blue Jays team is built the likelihood of seeing a home run at the homer-friendly park is very likely.