Best Month for Blue Jays: Tracking Toronto Trends Since 2021

Best Month for Blue Jays: Tracking Toronto Trends Since 2021
By Mark Keast
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The 2024 MLB season is right around the corner. Teams are well into their spring training schedules now, with Ontario sportsbooks updating their odds for 2024.

We wanted to know which months have been best and worst for the Toronto Blue Jays in the past few seasons. Using Baseball-Reference.com, OntarioBets pulled the Toronto Blue Jays’ records from each season since 2021, then added up the record from each month to see which months have been the most successful for the team.

 
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Toronto Blue Jays Best Month

Rank, Month Record Winning Pct.
1. September 53-30 .639
2. April 43-30 .589
3. June 45-36 .556
4. July 40-33 .548
5. August 43-41 .512
6. May 40-42 .488

Blue Jays Best And Worst Months Past 3 Years

For those seeking more trends such as this, check out our Toronto Blue Jays best day of the week story at OntarioBets.com.

Based on the statistics, the Blue Jays play best in September with a 53-30 record for a .638 winning percentage. The only month they do not have an above .500 record is May, with a 40-42 record.

In the past three seasons, the Jays have gone to the playoffs twice but have not found any postseason success. In 2022 Toronto reached the American League Wild Card series but lost 2-0 to the Seattle Mariners. It was the exact same result for Canada’s only Major League Baseball team in 2023, as the Jays finished 89-73 to grab the last AL postseason spot but lost the Wild Card series 2-0 to the Minnesota Twins.

 
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2024 Baseball Betting Trends

According to BetMGM Sportsbook Ontario, the most bet divisions are the American League Central, the National League Central and the AL East.

The most bet teams to win divisions, based on tickets, are the Detroit Tigers (AL Central, 4.50), Cincinnati Reds (NL Central, 4.50), and Baltimore Orioles (AL East, 3.00). Based on handle, it’s the same three teams.

In the AL East, the favorite to win the division is the New York Yankees (2.45), with the Orioles (3.00) generating the highest betting interest by tickets (49%) and handle (55.2%).

The Toronto Blue Jays follow the Orioles on the Ontario MLB betting odds chart to win the division, at 5.75 (16% of tickets, 15.7% of handle at BetMGM).

 
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Toronto Blue Jays Preseason Prospectus

The news coming out of spring training for the Jays has made fans a little nervous, and perhaps some backers at Ontario sports betting apps as well. Starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Alek Manoah have been shut down because of shoulder issues. 

Sportsnet reported that the Jays cancelled Manoah’s scheduled side session today because of shoulder soreness. He is considered day-to-day. Gausman was diagnosed Monday with shoulder fatigue and his live batting practice session was cancelled. MRI exams in both situations revealed no structural concerns.

What propelled the Jays last year was the health of their starting pitching staff. It sure wasn’t their ability to deliver with runners in scoring position. And while they added free agent Justin Turner, a lot of people were underwhelmed by their offseason on that front. At Caesars Ontario Sportsbook, the Blue Jays have +2500 odds to win the World Series.

At the plate, the Jays are really counting on comeback seasons by George Springer, Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Daulton Varsho, especially.

So, a quick jump out of the gate when they start playing games for real March 28 on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays is going to be key. The Jays are looking at road series against the Rays, Houston Astros, Yankees to start, before they return home to face the Seattle Mariners April 8. That’s a tough schedule to start.

Can the Jays reach the postseason for the third consecutive year? The DraftKings Ontario Sportsbook has -140 odds on yes and +120 odds on no.

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Author

Mark Keast has recently covered the sports betting industry in Canada for The Parleh, and is a long-time sportswriter and editor, most notably with the Toronto Sun.

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