Bills vs Dolphins Odds & Predictions: Who Will Win Week 3 Matchup?

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Bills vs. Dolphins Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

The Bills swept the Dolphins in the 2024 season. Now, they will host them on Thursday Night Football in Week 3, and Ontario Bets has all the action ready to cover for this AFC East showdown. 

Key Takeaways:

  • The Bills will host the Dolphins on Thursday, September 18th, 2025, in Week 3 for Thursday Night Football. 
  • The Bills are favored to beat the Dolphins by an 8.5-point spread. 

Bills vs. Dolphins odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

The Bills are currently favored by 8.5 points ahead of their Week 3, Thursday Night clash with the Dolphins. This indicates that they must win by more than 8.5 points to cover the spread. 

TeamBillsDolphins
Spread-8.5 (-110)+8.5 (-110)
Total48.5 (O)48.5 (U)
Moneyline-380+300

What The Spread Tells Us

The spread suggests that this game is unlikely to be close. After demolishing the Dolphins last season on Thursday Night Football in Miami, this year's battle will be in Orchard Park, New York. The spread showcases that the Bills can win this game by at least nine points, which is what they would need to do to cover the spread. 

What The Moneyline Tells Us 

The moneyline indicates that the Bills are somewhat heavy favorites. Ultimately, the Bills are one of the top teams in the AFC while the Dolphins are middling. Plus, the game being at Highmark Stadium gives the nod to the Bills. 

How The Bills Win vs. The Dolphins

The Bills can beat the Dolphins if Josh Allen can make plays with his legs and his arm. Plus, James Cook is a versatile weapon who can run the ball and catch dumpoffs in the backfield. Last season, the defense intercepted Tua Tagovailoa three times in the blowout win, and that is something they must do again. 

How The Dolphins Win vs. The Bills

The Dolphins can beat the Bills if they can run the ball successfully. They did in the close loss to the Bills last season, but utterly failed in the blowout loss. Tagovailoa must also take care of the ball by not taking too many hits or making ill-advised passes. 

 
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Bills Dolphins Prop Bets

The Bills and Dolphins have several players who can help with your prop bets. 

Bills Dolphins Prop Bets

PlayerProp BetBet
Josh AllenTBDTBD
James CookTBDTBD
Tua TagovailoaTBDTBD
De'Vone AchaneTBDTBD
Tyreek HillTBDTBD

Allen is the most valuable player in this match because of his dual versatility. Additionally, Cook can make plays out of the backfield. Tagovailoa has the arm strength to make great connections with Tyreek Hill. Achane can move the chains with his legs, and also help relieve the pressure off Tagovailoa. 

Bills Dolphins Team Props

TeamProp BetOdds
BillsBills to score first.TBD
BillsBills to score first and loseTBD
DolphinsDolphins to score firstTBD
DolphinsDolphins to score first and loseTBD

The Bills have won six in a row against the Dolphins, and much of that has been due to them scoring first. In five of the six wins during the winning streak, the Bills scored first. The Dolphins have not beaten the Bills in a game they have scored first since 2018. 

Bills vs dolphins odds

History of Bills vs. Dolphins

The highly anticipated Week 3 NFL matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins is set to be an exciting clash. It's not surprising, as these teams have a great history against one another. 

Bills Record Vs. Dolphins

The Dolphins lead the head-to-head series 62-60-1. Yet, the Bills have won six games in a row against the Dolphins, and are also 13-1 against Miami in their last 14 games. 

All-Time Best Bills-Dolphins Games

The Dolphins-Bills rivalry goes back decades, and the most important games between the two have to be in the playoffs, not the regular season, where they have met several times. The Bills are 4-1 in the playoffs against the Dolphins.

Game 1: January 17, 1993 - Bills 29, Dolphins 10

The Buffalo Bills had both a dominant and heartbreaking early 1990s. They went to four straight Super Bowls and lost all four. Jim Kelly was their fearless leader, and he went toe-to-toe with Dan Marino many times. In this game, Kelly had almost 100 fewer yards, but the Bills ran for north of 150 while the Dolphins ran for 33. Buffalo advanced to its 3rd straight Super Bowl with the win.

Game 2: January 15, 2023 - Bills 34, Dolphins 31

After talking about the early 90s, let's take a flash into the future. The Bills were the sizable favorite in this game as the Dolphins were starting Skylar Thompson. It was expected to be a blowout, but Thompson and company kept things close in the Wild Card battle. The Bills were up 14-0 at the end of the first, and hope seemed lost, but Allen's two interceptions allowed them back into the game. Buffalo came out on top, but it closed out as a thrilling playoff battle.

Game 3: January 12, 1991 - Bills 44, Dolphins 34

This was the start of it all for Buffalo. While the Bills made the playoffs in the last two seasons prior, this was their first Super Bowl berth, and it was another Marino-Kelly showdown with both throwing for 3 touchdowns and over 300 yards. Two Buffalo receivers topped 120 yards, and the Dolphins, after being down 27-10, made up the ground and had it at 30-27 in the fourth quarter. While they didn't come out on top, it did prove to be a pivotal battle in the AFC East rivalry.

👇Know the expected lineups, weather forecast and location details of this week 1 matchup


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Bills Vs Dolphins FAQ

The Bills will host the Dolphins on Thursday, September 18, 2025, for a Week 3 showdown at Highmark Stadium. The teams will also play a second game on Sunday, November 9, 2025, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida. 

The Bills won their first game against the Dolphins, hammering them 58-24 on September 18, 1966, at War Memorial Stadium in Buffalo, New York. Then, they took care of the Dolphins again in their next battle in Miami. 

The Dolphins currently lead the head-to-head series 62-60-1. But the Bills lead the postseason series 4-1, including a dramatic 34-31 win in the 2022 Divisional Round and a 1990 AFC Divisional Round win that propelled the Jim Kelly era. 

The Bills are currently favored by 8.5 points to beat the Dolphins, with the moneyline being at -380. The over-under is currently at 48.5 points, as oddsmakers believe there will be more points in this game because of Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa. 

You can place a bet on the Bills-Dolphins game in Week 3 by utilizing any of the official sportsbooks in Ontario. Some of the best websites include FanDuel, DraftKings Sportsbook, betMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, and PointsBet Canada Sportsbook. 

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports and betting, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. His goal is providing detailed analysis on the trends & data of sports betting with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.

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