Betting Market Beginning To Sour On Buffalo Bills After Latest Loss

Betting Market Beginning To Sour On Buffalo Bills After Latest Loss
By Mark Keast
Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

Buffalo Bills fans have had their heads in their hands this week, wondering if their team remains a legitimate title contender at Ontario betting sites after last week’s 24-18 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, dropping their record to 5-4.

Quarterback Josh Allen threw another interception, this one in the second quarter – he’s tied for the NFL lead with nine. Shockingly, Allen led the team in rushing, with 44 yards. James Cook had just six carries for 20 yards, Latavius Murray had just two carries for four yards in a season where the plan was clearly to take the rushing responsibilities off of Allen more, protecting him from injury. 

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow absolutely carved the Bills’ defense off those first two possessions – six-for-six for 65 yards on the opening drive for a TD, and a season-high 348 yards and two touchdowns over the game – putting away any doubts that Burrow was suffering any lingering effects from that calf injury. 

The Bills are struggling both on defense and offence now. They haven’t been able to score. And their defense isn’t getting stops – again see that first quarter performance last week. No LB Tremaine Edmunds, gone in free agency, no Matt Milano and Tre’Davious White, gone with injuries. Their defense is 24th in the NFL in net total yards (3,006). They’re 11th worst in rushing yards gained (1,030).

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Player Props Still Valuable

According to BetMGM Ontario Sportsbook on last week’s Bengals-Bills game: 72% of bets, 73% of money, were on the Bengals -1.5 (no movement). Also, 67% of bets and 81% of money was on the total over 50.5 (open 46.5). Bills 2.05 was the second most bet underdog to win outright in Week 9, so the believers are still out there. Plus, Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid has most definitely arrived – 99% of bets were on Kincaid over 39.5 receiving yards (he ended up with 81 yards).

And at Proline, a spokesperson said the betting public is starting to sour on the Bills, with 62% of customers picking the Bengals -1.5, while just 24% had the total under 49.5 points. The Bengals’ Ja’Marr Chase (23%) was the most popular choice to score the first TD of the game but that honor ultimately went to his teammate, Irv Smith Jr. (1%). The Bills’ Dalton Kincaid (17%) and Gabriel Davis (11%) rounded out the top 3 there.

Just 28% of customers picked Allen to go under on his passing yards (272.5), although 80% had him over on his completions (23.5) and 98% had him over on rushing yards (29.5).

Patience was the key as Stefon Diggs moved from 86.5 to 85.5 receiving yards about an hour before kickoff. He finished the game with 86 yards, turning what would have been a losing wager on the over into a winner for those who waited to place their wagers until closer to kickoff. 

Next up for the Bills is a Monday night home game (8:15 p.m. EST) in Week 10 against the Denver Broncos, with the Bills a heavy favorite at most Ontario betting apps.

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Mark Keast has recently covered the sports betting industry in Canada for The Parleh, and is a long-time sportswriter and editor, most notably with the Toronto Sun.

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